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Written by Andreas Graefe
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Thursday, 23 October 2008 09:33 |
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Science Daily reports on one of the quantitative models incorporated by Polly. This model by Carl Klarner predicts Obama to win, receiving a vote-share of 53.0%. |
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Written by Andreas Graefe
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Tuesday, 07 October 2008 14:58 |
Carl Bialik covers PollyVote on his Wall Street Journal Blog. Carl is known as the "Numbers Guy", examining numbers in the news, business and politics, which help to make informed decisions.
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Written by Andreas Graefe
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Wednesday, 03 September 2008 07:32 |
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An article in the Chronicle of Higher Education reports on the meeting of the American Political Science Association last Friday in Boston. For non-subscribers, the article will only be available for a few days. |
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Written by Andreas Graefe
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Friday, 08 August 2008 08:04 |
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The Sueddeutsche Zeitung, Germany's largest broadsheet daily, as well as the Sonntagszeitung from Switzerland covered PollyVote in recent articles.
PollyVote popular in German-speaking countriesBoth articles deal with election forecasting in general, covering two articles from the International Journal of Forecasting special issue on US Presidential Election Forecasting. In particular, the article mentions the "Keys" model by Alan Lichtman and the "time-for-change" model by Alan I. Abramowitz. Both models are part of Polly's model based component forecast. Then, the articles refer to PollyVote as a "magic formula" that combines the forecasts of all different approaches. Finally, the articles also cover the "Faces" study by Armstrong, Green, Jones and Wright (2008) as well as the recent article by Graefe and Armstrong (2008) in which they analyze the relationship between voter's perceptions and candidates' positions on issues and policies. Use these links to access the newspaper articles (in German): |