These graphs compare the PollyVote forecast to the forecasts of her components as well as to raw polls and original IEM forecasts. You can use the blue plot at the bottom of each graph to zoom into the data.

Click here to see the PollyVote data.

PollyVote vs. all components

PollyVote vs. Damped Polls

PollyVote vs. IEM (7-day average)

PollyVote vs. Experts

PollyVote vs. Quantitative Models

PollyVote vs. undamped RCP Average

PollyVote vs. original IEM prices