The PollyVote Project

Polly the parrot uses the high-profile application of election forecasting to demonstrate advances in forecasting methodology.

Her focus is on the principle of combining by averaging forecasts from different component methods. This approach has lead to highly accurate forecasts for the past five U.S. presidential elections.

Polly's caretakers are Scott Armstrong, Alfred Cuzan, Andreas Graefe and Randall Jones.

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