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PollyPrimaries 2012
Today's combined forecast
for who will win the
2012 Republican nomination
(ordered by descending average rank)

For predicting who will win the 2012 Republican nomination, Polly currently draws on forecasts / projections from three methods:

For each method, Polly first calculates the rank of each candidate. Then, Polly averages the ranks across methods to achieve a combined rank. The candidate with the lowest combined rank is predicted to win the nomination.
 
The table on the right shows today's forecast for the top 10 candidates derived from combining the forecasts of the three methods. The candidates are ordered by descending average rank. 
 

 

Last Updated on Sunday, 24 July 2011 03:24
 

PollyVote 2012

 
Today's forecast of the
popular two-party vote


Click here for more information about this forecast.

PollyPrimaries 2012

 
Today's forecast of the
2012 Republican
presidential nominee
(Ranks of top 3 candidates)


Click here for more information
about this forecast.